Un flash crash su tempi brevi per BTC/USD induce il panico tra i trader lunghi, ma per gli analisti, è un business come al solito.

Bitcoin (BTC) è caduto oltre 2.000 dollari in cinque minuti il 31 marzo, quando un’ondata di volatilità ha sconvolto un mercato altrimenti tranquillo.

BTC vede una volatilità improvvisa

Cointelegraph Markets Pro e Tradingview hanno mostrato un incubo per i trader lunghi mercoledì, con BTC/USD che è sceso improvvisamente da $59.350 a $57.000.

Al momento della scrittura, le perdite stavano ancora montando dopo che la coppia ha colpito i minimi di $56.713 su Bitstamp.

„Esattamente Bitcoin“, il trader Michaël van de Poppe ha reagito a quello che è diventato un evento familiare su tempi brevi per Bitcoin.

In precedenza, il rialzo era stato il focus per i commercianti di giorno, quando le notizie da PayPal hanno generato una corsa fino a poco meno di 60.000 dollari.

Quelli che scommettevano su una continuazione della corsa al toro hanno perso molto mercoledì, tuttavia, quando il ribasso ha liquidato posizioni lunghe per un valore di 600 milioni di dollari in un totale di 1 miliardo di dollari in 24 ore.

Per l’analista quantistico PlanB, la loro scomparsa è stata comunque benefica, aiutando a liberare il mercato dalla leva indesiderata e assicurando futuri rialzi più organici. Come riportato da Cointelegraph, eventi simili si sono verificati con posizioni sia lunghe che corte negli ultimi mesi.

„Bella caccia allo stop loss … di nuovo“, ha commentato su Twitter.

„Ora che tutti i leveraged long sono liquidati, abbiamo finalmente spazio per rompere $60K in aprile“.

I tassi di finanziamento salgono

Nel frattempo, gli indicatori hanno mostrato ragioni per credere che ulteriori aumenti di prezzo per Bitcoin avrebbero bisogno di un po‘ di lavoro.

I tassi di finanziamento su tutte le piattaforme di derivati sono stati più alti nel corso della giornata, raggiungendo fino allo 0,375% su Huobi, un classico segno che la pressione al ribasso è in arrivo.

Il quadro a lungo termine rimane più che positivo, con gli analisti che indicano $68.000 e $73.000 come i prossimi ostacoli da osservare.

Matt McCall batte Louis Navellier in una scommessa di $ 5K … il picco di bitcoin e poi il pullback … cosa aspettarsi da qui

*** Saremo chiusi lunedì prossimo

Prima di iniziare, una breve nota …

I nostri uffici di InvestorPlace e il dipartimento del servizio clienti saranno chiusi questo lunedì, 1/18 in onore del Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.

Se hai bisogno di assistenza, saremo felici di aiutarti quando riapriremo martedì.

*** E proprio così, Louis Navellier è più povero di $ 5.000

Esattamente una settimana fa, il leggendario investitore ha perso la sua scommessa amichevole con Matt McCall su ciò che avrebbe raggiunto per primo il livello di 40.000: il Dow Jones o bitcoin.

Louis ha preso il Dow, Matt ha preso bitcoin.

All’inizio non era altro che un amichevole disaccordo in ufficio durante l’estate. Questo fino a quando il nostro CEO, Brian Hunt, se ne accorse …

Dopo aver ascoltato i rispettivi casi, Brian ha ritenuto che la differenza di opinioni sarebbe stata interessante e divertente per i nostri lettori di InvestorPlace, quindi ha chiesto a Louis e Matt di discutere le loro posizioni in diretta, cosa che abbiamo fatto ad agosto in occasione dell’evento „The Race to 40K. “

Ecco come si sono comportati i due da allora …

*** È interessante notare che quasi non appena il bitcoin ha superato i $ 40.000, si è invertito, restituendo il 25%

Detto questo, se fossi Louis, potrei mettere un asterisco accanto alla „vittoria“ di Matt. Ma torneremo su questo in un momento …

Innanzitutto, ecco Matt sulla sua vittoria:

… anche se ho „vinto“ la scommessa, chiunque investe in buone azioni e / o bitcoin dovrebbe vincere …

Sono molto ottimista sulle azioni quest’anno e in questo decennio. E sono eccezionalmente ottimista su bitcoin, altcoin (criptovalute diverse dal bitcoin) e la tecnologia blockchain su cui sono costruiti.

In effetti, vedo che bitcoin raggiunge addirittura $ 100.000 qui nel 2021. Sarebbe un altro 155% dai prezzi attuali.

Se sembra assurdo, considera che ci sono volute solo tre settimane per raddoppiare da $ 20.000 a $ 40.000.

Ora, a questo punto, fermiamoci e guardiamo cosa è successo a bitcoin dopo che Matt ha pubblicato il suo aggiornamento …

Come ha appena notato Matt, sono bastate solo tre settimane per raddoppiare bitcoin. Ma come attestano gli investitori di lunga data, ciò che sale velocemente può scendere ancora più velocemente. E questo è certamente quello che è successo con bitcoin.

Di seguito, puoi vedere bitcoin sfondare $ 41.500, solo per poi restituire il 25% in soli tre giorni scendendo a $ 31.500.

Last year Russel Okung demanded that his annual salary be paid out in Bitcoin. Now he has received the BTC payment from his club.

American football player Russell Okung received half of his annual salary in bitcoin

With a salary of $ 13 million, the Seattle Seahawks offensive player is now roughly 228 BTC richer. Okung is the first NFL player to ever receive payment in cryptocurrencies.

As early as May 2019, he asked his club via Twitter to pay him with Profit Secret. On December 29th, he announced in a tweet that he had finally received a bitcoin sum. A short time later, Okung commented on the advantages of the cryptocurrency:

When we are all paid in Bitcoin, no one can tell us what to do with the value we create.

Meanwhile, Okung made critical hints against the US dollar. He sees Bitcoin as a safe alternative to protect his money:

If you think elections have been rigged, wait until you find out about the US dollar. You can earn ‚x‘ a year and watch it slowly decrease with inflation

The NFL athlete’s Bitcoin payment could be the starting signal for many other athletes to follow suit. Jack Mallers, founder of Zap, said that athletes from the National Basketball Association (NBA) and Major League Baseball (MLB) are also considering possible payment with Bitcoin.

In times of the Bitcoin all-time high, the payment for the NFL professional should have arrived at just the right time. Cryptocurrencies now seem to have arrived in the field of sports. This is just further evidence that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are moving more and more into the field of vision of the general public.

Bitcoin, de eerste en grootste cryptocurrency op basis van marktkapitalisatie, wist de winsten van de voorgaande week uit en daalde onder de $ 18.000 tijdens de diepste wekelijkse daling sinds eind augustus. Op 1 december bereikte BTC een nieuw recordniveau van $ 19.915, maar het opwaartse momentum vervaagde naarmate het $ 20.000 naderde. Momenteel bevindt Bitcoin zich in een relatief ongecompliceerde prijsklasse tussen $ 17.500 en $ 18.500, omdat het te maken heeft met verkoopdruk.

De recente uitverkoop van Bitcoin zinspeelde op het feit dat mijnwerkers grote hoeveelheden Bitcoin op beurzen verkochten. Cryptoquant gaf aan dat de positie-index van BTC-mijnwerkers het hoogste niveau in drie maanden heeft bereikt, wat winstneming impliceert. Hetzelfde scenario speelde zich af in september, voordat Bitcoin kelderde van $ 12.000 naar $ 10.000.

Denis Vinokurov van BeQuant Exchange gelooft dat de uitverkoop van BTC verder had kunnen worden verergerd door het verbranden van Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC), wat betekende dat BTC die in de Defi-ruimte werd gebruikt, werd verkocht, ten tweede door de stroom in de optiemarkt af te dekken.

Dit is wat analisten zeggen

Deelnemers aan de Bitcoin Forecast Expert-peiling hebben gewed op Bitcoin-consolidatie onder $ 19.000 en verwachten niet dat er in de komende drie maanden een nieuwe recordhoogte zal worden bereikt.

Een analist merkte op dat de BTC-grafiek een neerwaartse trend laat zien, zoals blijkt uit lagere hoogte- en dieptepunten. Verder stellen dat een neerwaartse trend over het algemeen altijd lagere hoogtepunten en lagere dieptepunten zal maken totdat een duidelijke bodem wordt gevonden. Gebaseerd op tal van bearish signalen, waaronder de mogelijke verdeling van fondsen op Mt. Gox-gebruikers gelooft een andere analist dat het bearish momentum van BTC tegen het einde van het jaar kan sneeuwballen.

Op het moment van schrijven handelt BTC marginaal omhoog tegen $ 18.321

Denis Vinokurov van BeQuant heeft echter een iets andere mening. Hij is van mening dat de keerzijde van BTC op korte termijn beperkt is en dat de vooruitzichten voor december rooskleurig blijven. Hij benadrukte dat de onzekerheid rond de Brexit en de Amerikaanse stimuleringsmaatregelen Bitcoin uiteindelijk zal boeien, aangezien de eetlust voor risicovolle activa kan worden hersteld:

“Onzekerheid over de Brexit en het Amerikaanse stimuleringsplan kan in eerste instantie verwoestend zijn, maar uiteindelijk positief. Verwacht dus dat de keerzijde beperkt is en dat de stabiliteit zich herstelt. “

Guy Hirsch van de eToro-beurs heeft ook een vergelijkbare mening over de nasleep van de recente uitverkoop van BTC. Hij verklaarde dat Bitcoin historisch gezien altijd een sterke prestatie heeft neergezet in december, dus hij verwacht dat kopers BTC zullen verzamelen tijdens grote dips.

In 2017 kreeg Bitcoin bijvoorbeeld tegen het einde van het jaar te maken met turbulentie. Maar eind december steeg BTC naar een recordhoogte van ongeveer $ 20.000. Bitcoin heeft dat cijfer sindsdien overtroffen, maar is niet hoger gebleven. Als de verkoopdruk op BTC de komende weken afneemt, kan BTC het jaar binnenkort op een hoog niveau eindigen, zei Hirsch. Hirsch herhaalde dat de langetermijnvooruitzichten voor BTC optimistisch zijn, en zei dat het logisch is dat BTC „aanzienlijk hoger“ is dan het nu is in de komende 12 maanden.

Analisten wijzen erop dat een break boven $ 18.500 een bullish korte doorbraak zou betekenen en BTC zou aanzetten tot een rally. Een nieuwe daling onder $ 17.800 zou echter aangeven dat er een bearish trend op korte termijn zou kunnen ontstaan. De terugvaltrend op de Amerikaanse aandelenmarkt zou kunnen betekenen dat Bitcoin een tijdje kan stagneren.

Bitcoin (BTC) and gold bars are more similar than expected. You can use it to protect your savings from inflation. The picture shows gold bars and Bitcoin coins.

Can Bitcoin Replace Gold? – This debate has been with us for several years. On one side there are gold advocates like Peter Schiff and on the other side a multitude of investment bankers, managers and economists who confirm the narrative of Bitcoin Cycle review as a gold substitute. In this article we take a look at JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou’s opinion on Bitcoin and gold .

In his opinion, thanks to Bitcoin, the precious metal could now face a year-long downward spiral.

Bitcoin takes over shares of gold in the portfolio

According to the analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, a paradigm shift is imminent in the investment policy of large institutions and family offices.

Accordingly, the increasing acceptance of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) is increasingly leading institutional investors to invest part of their portfolios in Bitcoin. However, this in turn makes gold suffer, as the allocation to the precious metal decreases.

Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou works for the American bank JPMorgan in the field of quantitative analysis. In his opinion, the „Bitcoin as digital gold“ narrative is becoming increasingly popular. In his opinion, this means that gold is likely to lose the attention of investors over the next few years.

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0.18% BTC in the portfolio of family offices

In portfolio management, a restructuring of existing portfolio shares is also called a reallocation.

This process is part of sensible portfolio management and ensures that the individual positions are balanced.

Now Panigirtzoglou takes up this aspect and said that an average of 0.18% of the family office portfolios are invested in Bitcoin. In contrast, there is a gold share of 3.3%. If you take this data as a starting point and assume a small reallocation, this can mean a fundamental tailwind for the BTC price.

Literally, the JPMorgan analyst said:

The adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors has only just begun. For gold, on the other hand, adoption is well advanced. If my assumption is correct in the medium to long term, the gold price would suffer massively from this change.

The fact is that companies like Grayscale impressively show how high the demand for Bitcoin is from institutional investors. The big names like MicroStrategy, Paypal and Cash also attracted a lot of attention this year.

At the same time, Bitcoin is trading stable above $ 18,000 despite recent corrections and is thus preparing for the year 2021.

L’economista e analista di mercato di spicco Alex Kruger non è preoccupato per l’andamento a medio termine della Bitcoin, nonostante la recente debolezza dei prezzi.

Dice che la moneta potrebbe tirare un rally simile al Tesla nei mesi a venire.

Bitcoin potrebbe tirare un grande rally nei mesi a venire

L’economista e analista di mercato di spicco Alex Kruger non è preoccupato per l’andamento a medio termine della Bitcoin, nonostante la recente debolezza dei prezzi. L’analista ha recentemente dichiarato che pensa che la criptovaluta potrebbe finire per tirare un „Tesla“ come un rally nei mesi a venire:

„Mi è stato chiesto se c’è un livello in cui ridurrei significativamente la mia esposizione al bitcoin. Non c’è“. Ci sono livelli dove ridurrei l’esposizione se l’azione dei prezzi intragiornalieri e/o le metriche di finanziamento indicano che potrei mettere un top locale. Questo è tutto. $BTC rivisitare 13.000 dollari avrebbe senso per il grafico. Ma molti afflussi correnti sono agnostici. $BTC potrebbe strappare facce nei prossimi 2-3 mesi, tirare un Tesla. Il profilo dei rendimenti rimane asimmetrico. Quindi non scommettere su un pull back“.

$BTC rivisitare 13K avrebbe senso per il grafico. Ma molti afflussi correnti sono agnostici. $BTC potrebbe strappare facce nei prossimi 2-3 mesi, tirare un Tesla. Il profilo dei rendimenti rimane asimmetrico. Quindi non scommettere su un pull back.

Ha aggiunto in seguito che se ottiene un calo del prezzo Bitcoin nella regione da 13.000 dollari, sarebbe incline a distribuire capitale aggiuntivo nel mercato della crittovaluta.

Con un rally simile a quello di Tesla, Kruger fa riferimento a come la criptovaluta sia salita di livello dai minimi dell’estate 2019 ai freschi massimi di tutti i tempi, come vediamo ora.

Macro Trend Intact

Altri sono convinti che la tendenza del toro sia intatta. Tyler Winklevoss, CEO di Gemini e miliardario Bitcoin, ha detto recentemente in proposito:

„Penso che vedremo un prezzo altissimo per #Bitcoin prima del 2020″. Anche se il prezzo è salito da 10k a quasi 14k in meno di un mese, non è ancora andato a buon fine. Quando inizieremo a vedere picchi di 3-5k, allora i tori saranno in fuga“.

Anche Raoul Pal, CEO di Real Vision ed ex manager di hedge fund, ha recentemente affermato che la crittovaluta potrebbe muoversi ancora più in alto.

„Ci sono letteralmente solo due resistenze rimaste sul grafico #bitcoin – 14.000 e poi il vecchio massimo storico a 20.000″. Mi aspetto nuovi massimi di tutti i tempi al più tardi all’inizio del prossimo anno. La performance di Bitcoin è così dominante e così onnicomprensiva che risucchierà ogni singolo asset narrativo a secco e lo sputerà fuori. Mai prima d’ora nella mia carriera ho visto un’attività così dominante che non ha quasi alcun senso detenere altre attività. La macro, i flussi, la tecnologia, la demografia e le tensioni sociali sono tutti confluiti in questo momento e la risposta definitiva dei mercati è – #bitcoin“.

Pal ritiene che la Bitcoin potrebbe raggiungere un prezzo di 100.000 dollari e oltre in questo ciclo di mercato a causa di una serie di macro tendenze. Egli ha evidenziato in modo specifico il coinvolgimento istituzionale nella principale moneta crittografica, che potrebbe portare la moneta a nuove vette a causa di afflussi record.

Bitcoin Cash’s harde vork staat aan; BCHN zal waarschijnlijk een dominante keten worden

Update: Nadat het zesde gemeenschappelijke blok was gedolven, werd de kettingsplitsing bevestigd door Bitcoin Cash ABC, met de tweeting van het team,

Tijdens de #BitcoinCash netwerkupgrade, die nu voltooid is, is er een kettingsprong ontstaan met als resultaat twee ketens: BCHA en BCHN.

BCHA richt zich op het opbouwen van gezond wereldwijd geld door het technische talent dat dit mogelijk maakt te belonen. Meld u aan om meer te weten te komen: https://t.co/djqtsBrHli

– Bitcoin ABC (@Bitcoin_ABC) 15 november 2020

Bitcoin Cash (BCH), de op vier na grootste cryptocurrency van de crypto-markt, leek vandaag na 12.00 uur UTC haar derde harde vork te ondergaan, nadat haar netwerk op de afgrond van de splitsing in twee ketens stond – Bitcoin Cash Node (BCHN) en Bitcoin Cash ABC (BCH ABC), nadat er geen consensus kon worden bereikt.

Hetzelfde werd bevestigd door BitMEX Research in een recente tweet,

Het is voorbij 12:00 UTC op 15 november, dit betekent dat het een Bitcoin Cash-hardvork is (die deze keer omstreden kan zijn).

Het 6e blok met een tijdstempel na 12:00 UTC zou het laatste gemeenschappelijke blok tussen de concurrerende netwerken moeten zijn, bloknummer 661.647https://t.co/U9hbK4peip.

– BitMEX Research (@BitMEXResearch) 15 november 2020

Deze omstreden harde vork kwam voort uit een geschil tussen BCHABC en BCHN omdat BCHABC een Infrastructuur Financieringsplan wil implementeren dat een „mijnwerkersbelasting“ van 8% zou invoeren. In wezen zou dit betekenen dat 8% van de mijnwerkersbeloningen zou worden uitgekeerd aan het team achter de blokketen.

Integendeel, BCHN is van mening dat het verminderen van de winsten van mijnwerkers op deze manier niet de beste manier is. Er is ook een angst voor meer centralisatie die zou ontstaan door de ontwikkeling van BCH rond een enkel team.

Zoals blijkt uit een blik op de grafieken van Coin Dance van vlak voor de betreffende vork, wijdde een meerderheid van de mijnwerkers op de markt hun hasjkracht aan BCHN. In feite kreeg BCHN 83,8% van de steun wat betreft de mijnblokken.

Ook beurzen en portemonneeondernemingen hebben BCHN voor een groot deel gesteund, omdat zij voortaan naar verwachting de dominante Bitcoin Billionaire keten zal zijn. Sinds vorige week heeft Kraken zich aangesloten bij grote beurzen als Coinbase en Binance om hun steun te betuigen aan de Bitcoin Cash Node, zoals recentelijk is aangekondigd.

Interessant genoeg hadden handelaren, in het licht van het toen komende evenement, meer dan 2,2 miljoen BCH naar beurzen gestuurd om voor de harde vork te worden verkocht.

Billionaire and founder of Bridgewater Associates hedge fund Ray Daglio believes that governments will outlaw Bitcoin if it becomes very successful.

In an interview for Yahoo! Finance, a well-known investor said he would prefer gold to Bitcoin. He reads that „governments will not allow Bitcoin to become something significant“.

„I mean, they will outlaw it, they will use every means possible. They would say, „Now you can’t make deals with bitcoins. You can’t have Bitcoins“. Then people would think: „Is this a criminal offence? Do I have to become a criminal in order to make a transaction?“ They have already outlawed gold. What is wrong with gold? Gold was a means of saving money,“ said Daglio.

„Would I prefer bitcoin gold?“ No, I wouldn’t prefer Bitcoin to gold. Gold will be a means that central banks and countries will choose as an alternative to regular cash. Because every central bank can print cash. But all the time countries have cooperated with each other, they have used gold because that is how they were not afraid that some country might ‚print gold‘ would devalue it. And that’s still our third largest reserve, if you look at the reserves of the central banks. The dollar is first, the euro is second and gold is third,“ he added.

In addition to potential problems with the government, Dalio noted the volatility of the bitcoin: „Today I can’t easily buy something for the bitcoins. As a means of saving, it is very volatile because of speculation. It is not an effective means of saving, and it is also one of the reasons why it is very difficult to use bitcoin for transactions.

Dalio’s cautious stance on bitcoin is different from that of his billionaire colleague Paul Tudor Jones, who recently named it the best inflation protection.

Bitcoin’s price hit its highest weekly close since January 2018.

Long-term technical indicators are bullish, while short-term ones look bearish.

BTC could move in a short term ascending parallel channel

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During the week of October 19-26, Bitcoin Profit UK closed above $ 13,000. The long term trend is bullish, but the short term chart has started to show weaknesses.

Going above or below the current parallel channel will likely determine the direction of movement in the short term.

Weekly bullish close for Bitcoin

During the week of October 19-26, BTC price created a bullish recovery candlestick with a body measuring 13.5% in magnitude. Its weekly close at $ 13,039 is the highest since January 2018.

BTC is still moving near the long term resistance of $ 13,500 to $ 14,000, created by the candle highs of July 2019. That said, it has already crossed above the resistance of $ 11,800, created by weekly closings since February 2018 (dotted line below).

It is therefore possible that Bitcoin has already broken through a crucial resistance zone. A move maintained above $ 13,500 would strengthen this hypothesis.

Interestingly, the recent rise did not generate a bearish divergence in the RSI given that the latter’s recent high was slightly above that of August 17th. Additionally, the Stochastic Oscillator is still rising, so there is no weakness present in the daily timescale yet.

In the daily timescale, price has been rising from the bullish recovery candlestick on October 21. BTC created a small bearish candlestick on October 25, but there are no clear signs of weaknesses in the daily data yet.

The MACD, RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are on the rise, and have yet to generate any bearish divergence.

The shorter term six and two hour charts are showing the first signs of weakness in their trading structures .

During the two most recent highs, the RSI generated bearish divergences and the price created a falling star candlestick.

These are bearish signs indicating that a correction could follow shortly. In this case, the closest support levels are near $ 12,300 and $ 12,040, which are the 0.5 e 0.618 fibonacci levels of the most recent highs. This last zone also coincides with the previous resistance, which should now serve as support.

The two hour graph shows a possible ascending parallel channel. As of this writing, the price was in the process of creating a hammer candlestick, and moving past the middle of the channel.

The move of BTC above or below the channel could be the short term trigger that will determine the direction of the next trend. A passage under the canal would likely lower the course to the aforementioned support areas. On the contrary, a passage above the channel could be followed by a new test of the long term resistance zone of $ 13,500-14,000.

Due to the weaknesses in the short / medium term timescales, a passage under the channel seems more plausible. That said, the long term trend is bullish.